We have finally hit the final week of the 2017-2018 PGA Tour season. When the final putt drops on Sunday at East Lake someone will be walking away with the FedEx Cup, and the $10 million check that goes with it.
Now, we already know that the top 5 control their own destiny (win the tournament and you win the Cup). However, what needs to happen for guys #6 through 30 to have a shot at winning the whole thing? Well, put those calculators away, because thanks to the fine folks at PGA Tour HQ we know have all the scenarios that could play out.
So, without further ado, here is what needs to happen for each of the 30 guys competing this week at East Lake to walk away with the FedEx Cup:
#1 Bryson DeChambeau
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-six finish
- Can finish as low as a T29 and still have a mathematical chance of winning
#2 Justin Rose
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-three finish
- Can finish as low as 9th and still have a mathematical chance of winning
#3 Tony Finau
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a T2 finish
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
#4 Dustin Johnson
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish
- Can finish as low as a three-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
#5 Justin Thomas
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish
#6 Keegan Bradley
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T2 or worse
– Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the FedExCup
#7 Brooks Koepka
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 2 finishes T2 or worse
– Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the FedExCup
#8 Bubba Watson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 2 finishes T2 or worse
#9 Billy Horschel
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 3 finishes T2 or worse
#10 Cameron Smith
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
– No. 2 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 4 finishes in T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes 2nd or worse
#11 Webb Simpson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T6 or worse
– No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 4 finishes in T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
#12 Jason Day
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
– No. 2 finishes 4th or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
#13 Francesco Molinari
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T7 or worse
– No. 2 finishes 4th or worse
– No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
#14 Phil Mickelson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T8 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
– No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
#15 Patrick Reed
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T9 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
– No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#16 Patrick Cantlay
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T10 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
– No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#17 Rory McIlroy
- Win the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T11 or worse
– No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#18 Xander Schauffele
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T12 or worse
– No. 2 finishes 5th or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#19 Tommy Fleetwood
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes thre-way for 13th or worse
– No. 2 finishes T5 or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#20 Tiger Woods
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T15 or worse
– No. 2 finishes three-way for 5th or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#21 Aaron Wise
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes three-way for 16th or worse
– No. 2 finishes three-way for 5th or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#22 Kevin Na
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T18 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T6 or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#23 Rickie Fowler
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes three-way for 19th or worse
– No. 2 finishes T6 or worse
– No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#24 Jon Rahm
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T21 or worse
– No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
– No. 3 finishes two-way T3 or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#25 Kyle Stanley
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes T22 or worse
– No. 2 finishes 7th or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
#26 Paul Casey
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes three-way for 23rd or worse
– No. 2 finishes T7 or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
#27 Hideki Matsuyama
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes 25th or worse
– No. 2 finishes three-way for 7th or worse
– No. 3 in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
#28 Gary Woodland
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes two-way T26 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T8 or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
#29 Marc Leishman
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes 28th or worse
– No. 2 finishes three-way for 8th or worse
– No. 3 finishes in a three-way 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
#30 Patton Kizzire
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
– No. 1 finishes two-way T-29 or worse
– No. 2 finishes T9 or worse
– No. 3 in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
– No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
– No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
– No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
– No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
